Superloop stock closed at A$3.06 on 21 August, capping a weak three month stretch with the price down about 13% over 90 days. The market has been cooling on the story just as the company has delivered a clean profit and cash flow step up.
The headline from these FY26 results is simple. Superloop is now a profitable, cash generative telco with A$664.3m in revenue and A$17.5m in net income over the last year. However, it still trades on a rich trailing P/E of about 89.9x. Short term price softness sits against an earnings profile that now needs multi year proof.
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Prefer clean visual charts instead of dense tables of numbers? See Superloop’s full financial picture with a clear view of its latest valuation setup in the company report for Superloop.
Bulls argue Superloop is now a scaled fibre owner with repeatable earnings rather than a speculative telco. FY26 goes a long way to backing that up. Revenue of A$664.3m, underlying EBITDA of A$123m and NPAT of A$17.5m all align with the “Double Down” plan targets for higher revenue, better margins and positive profit. Free cash flow of A$84.4m, roughly 50% higher than last year, and capex at about 5.7% of revenue support the claim that the model is less capital hungry. Customer adds of 205,000, including a record 116,000 in consumer, and NBN share of about 8.5% show the broadband growth story is tracking. Wholesale gross margin around 69% and Smart Communities gross margins of 70% to 75% reinforce the thesis that owning fibre infrastructure can support healthy economics.
Bears worry that Superloop’s growth story is tightly tied to ambitious targets, competitive broadband pricing and clean M&A execution. The new “SuperCharge29” plan, which sets goals of more than A$1b revenue, more than A$200m EBITDA and a 3 year EPS compound annual growth rate above 30%, raises the execution bar. Any slip in customer additions or margins would matter more now, especially with recent share price softness and returns down about 13% over 90 days. Consumer margins were diluted in the second half due to heavy promotional activity and industry wide fee changes, which shows how pricing tactics can pressure profitability even when revenue is rising. The Lynham Networks deal adds 56,000 contracted lots and expected EBITDA, but still needs integration and delivery of planned synergies, so M&A risk has not cleared.
See how Superloop’s shift to higher margin fibre, heavier broadband customer growth and fresh SuperCharge29 targets line up with what the street is expecting by checking the consensus price target analysis for Superloop.If Superloop’s move to clean profit and cash generation has your attention but recent share price softness raises timing questions, register for free with Simply Wall St and add it to a Watchlist to track price against fair value and watch how execution on those SuperCharge29 targets unfolds. Once you decide to take a position, use the Portfolio Command Center to cut through noise and focus on the updates that actually matter to your holdings. For a broader view on Superloop and other stocks, tap into crowd insights through the Community and see how different investors are interpreting the same data. Spot potential catalysts and risks earlier so you can act with more confidence and stay ahead of the market.
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