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    Coinbase (COIN) Is Down 11.1% After UK Tokenized-Equity Win and Buyback Completion - What's Changed

    Simply Wall St·08/07/2026 11:41:10
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    • In late July 2026, Coinbase Global reported second-quarter revenue of US$1,220.07 million and a net loss of US$359.47 million, while also completing a US$2.03 billion share repurchase program initiated in 2024.
    • At the same time, Coinbase intensified its push for the US CLARITY Act and secured full MiFID-equivalent authorization from the UK’s FCA, signaling a stronger regulatory footing across two major financial markets.
    • Next, we’ll examine how Coinbase’s new UK authorization to offer tokenized equities interacts with its existing investment narrative and catalyst set.

    Find 51 companies with promising cash flow potential yet trading below their fair value.

    Coinbase Global Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Coinbase today, you need to believe in its role as core infrastructure for on-chain finance, even as trading-driven revenues remain under pressure. The latest quarter’s loss and softer revenue keep the key near term catalyst squarely on regulatory progress around the CLARITY Act, while the biggest current risk remains weak trading activity and fee pressure. The new UK authorization strengthens the long term tokenization story, but does not yet materially change these immediate drivers.

    Among recent announcements, the UK FCA’s MiFID-equivalent authorization looks most relevant. It allows Coinbase to offer tokenized US equities, derivatives and perpetual futures from a single regulated UK platform, aligning closely with the “on-chain capital markets” catalyst that many shareholders focus on. This sits in contrast to the continued losses in the core business, setting up a tension between the tokenization opportunity and the still-volatile economics of crypto trading.

    Yet beneath this expansion, investors also need to be aware of how prolonged low trading volumes and fee pressure could...

    Read the full narrative on Coinbase Global (it's free!)

    Coinbase Global's narrative projects $8.5 billion revenue and $2.1 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 8.3% yearly revenue growth and a $0.8 billion earnings decrease from $2.9 billion today.

    Uncover how Coinbase Global's forecasts yield a $383.46 fair value, a 164% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    COIN 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    COIN 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Some of the most optimistic analysts were assuming revenue could reach about US$9.7 billion and earnings US$3.2 billion, which is far more upbeat than a risk view centered on trading dependence and fee compression; as you weigh Q2’s loss and the stalled CLARITY Act, it is worth knowing that reasonable people can look at the same facts and reach very different conclusions.

    Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Coinbase Global - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

    Form Your Own Verdict

    Don't just follow the ticker - dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.

    • A great starting point for your Coinbase Global research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward that could impact your investment decision.
    • Our free Coinbase Global research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Coinbase Global's overall financial health at a glance.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.