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    Stronger Earnings, Dividend Hike, and Infrastructure Push Might Change The Case For Investing In Blackstone (BX)

    Simply Wall St·08/04/2026 01:25:15
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    • In late July 2026, Blackstone Inc. reported second-quarter revenue of US$5,043.98 million and net income of US$1,229.19 million, alongside declaring a US$1.29 per-share quarterly dividend and continuing share repurchases under its existing buyback program.
    • Alongside these results, Blackstone’s role in a US$16.00 billion lease-and-lease-back joint venture with Kuwait Oil Company underscores how fee-generating, long-dated infrastructure partnerships are becoming an important component of its broader earnings mix.
    • We’ll now examine how Blackstone’s stronger quarterly earnings and higher dividend influence the existing investment narrative around earnings resilience.

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    Blackstone Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Blackstone, you generally need to believe in its ability to grow fee-based earnings across private credit, infrastructure and private wealth while managing market and geopolitical uncertainty. The Kuwait Oil Company pipeline joint venture and the rumored purchase of HSBC’s Australian loan portfolio both speak to that theme, but do not materially change the near term catalyst, which remains how consistently Blackstone can translate its large asset base into steady, realized earnings. The biggest near term risk remains a pullback in realizations if markets stay choppy.

    The Kuwait Oil Company US$16,000 million lease and leaseback agreement is particularly relevant here, because it highlights how long dated, tariff based infrastructure partnerships are adding another leg to Blackstone’s fee stream. This complements its push in private credit and could help offset timing risks around exits in private equity and real estate. How much this improves earnings resilience will become clearer as more detail on fee terms and capital deployment emerges.

    Yet investors should also weigh how concentrated bets in large, long lived assets might amplify the risk that...

    Read the full narrative on Blackstone (it's free!)

    Blackstone's narrative projects $22.5 billion revenue and $9.8 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 16.1% yearly revenue growth and a $6.7 billion earnings increase from $3.1 billion today.

    Uncover how Blackstone's forecasts yield a $143.45 fair value, a 7% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    BX 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    BX 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Some of the lowest analysts were already cautious, assuming roughly US$21.7 billion in revenue and US$11.6 billion in earnings by 2029, and worrying that rapid expansion into infrastructure and AI heavy assets could introduce execution risks. You might see the new Kuwait pipelines deal and potential HSBC loan book purchase as strengthening the story, but these pessimists highlight how quickly sentiment can shift if big platforms struggle to run efficiently. Their view is a useful reminder that reasonable investors can look at the same numbers and reach very different conclusions.

    Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Blackstone - why the stock might be worth 15% less than the current price!

    Decide For Yourself

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.