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To own Neurocrine, you have to believe its neurology portfolio, led by INGREZZA, can offset pricing pressure, payer scrutiny, and product concentration risk as it grows. The latest earnings beat and higher INGREZZA guidance reinforce the near term earnings catalyst, but do not remove the key risk around US pricing and reimbursement pressure, especially as reforms and payer tightening continue to play out.
The most relevant recent announcement here is Neurocrine’s hiring of a new Senior Vice President of Market Access. For a business where Medicare contracting, rebates, and access hurdles can directly shape INGREZZA and CRENESSITY sales, having dedicated leadership on global market access may meaningfully influence how well the company manages pricing pressure and payer barriers around its main catalysts.
Yet beneath the strong quarter, investors should be aware that growing dependence on payer approvals and Medicare pricing could still...
Read the full narrative on Neurocrine Biosciences (it's free!)
Neurocrine Biosciences’ narrative projects $5.1 billion revenue and $1.5 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 18.0% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $831 million from $668.6 million today.
Uncover how Neurocrine Biosciences' forecasts yield a $192.88 fair value, a 16% upside to its current price.
Some of the most optimistic analysts already expected Neurocrine to reach about US$6.4 billion in revenue and US$2.7 billion in earnings by 2029, so this earnings beat and raised INGREZZA guidance may either reinforce that rare disease expansion story or highlight how exposed you still are to tougher CRENESSITY reimbursement over time, depending on how you see the trade off.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Neurocrine Biosciences - why the stock might be worth just $192.88!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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