Dassault Aviation société anonyme Beat Revenue Forecasts By 20%: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
It's been a good week for Dassault Aviation société anonyme (EPA:AM) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest half-year results, and the shares gained 4.8% to €299. It was a mildly positive result, with revenues exceeding expectations at €4.2b, while statutory earnings per share (EPS) of €12.52 were in line with analyst forecasts. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
Taking into account the latest results, Dassault Aviation société anonyme's 17 analysts currently expect revenues in 2026 to be €8.79b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to ascend 10% to €14.40. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €8.70b and earnings per share (EPS) of €14.52 in 2026. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
Check out our latest analysis for Dassault Aviation société anonyme
The analysts reconfirmed their price target of €357, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Dassault Aviation société anonyme analyst has a price target of €420 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €300. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Dassault Aviation société anonyme shareholders.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 2.4% by the end of 2026. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 2.3% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 9.5% per year. It's pretty clear that Dassault Aviation société anonyme's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Dassault Aviation société anonyme's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €357, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Dassault Aviation société anonyme analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
You still need to take note of risks, for example - Dassault Aviation société anonyme has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.