NP3 Fastigheter (OM:NP3) Stock Faces One Off Driven Margin Spike Challenging Bullish Narratives
Simply Wall St·07/12/2026 01:27:52
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NP3 Fastigheter (OM:NP3) has posted Q2 2026 revenue of SEK 621 million, with basic EPS of SEK 5.75 and trailing twelve month EPS of SEK 24.13, setting the tone for its latest earnings season update. Over recent quarters, the company’s revenue has moved from SEK 587 million in Q2 2025 to SEK 621 million in Q2 2026, while quarterly EPS has shifted from SEK 2.70 to SEK 5.75 alongside trailing twelve month net income of SEK 1.49 billion. This gives investors a clear view of how the income statement is shaping current margins and the potential rewards on offer.
With the headline numbers on the table, the next step is to see how these results line up with the most widely held narratives around NP3 Fastigheter and where the story may need updating.
OM:NP3 Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Jul 2026
Net margin at 62.9% is flattered by SEK 671m one off
Trailing net income of SEK 1.49b on SEK 2.36b of revenue translates into a 62.9% net margin for NP3 Fastigheter, compared with 39.7% a year earlier, helped by a SEK 671m non recurring gain included in the last 12 months.
What stands out for a bearish narrative is how heavily that SEK 671m item influences the 74% year over year earnings rise. Without it, the trailing SEK 24.13 EPS and 62.9% margin would sit much closer to the prior year figures and give less support to arguments that profitability power has stepped up structurally.
Quarterly net income excluding extra items over the last six reported quarters sits between SEK 166m and SEK 450m, which is far smaller than the SEK 671m one off on its own.
This concentration of profit in a single gain challenges any bearish claim that recent margin strength purely reflects ongoing rent or cost trends rather than accounting effects.
For readers who want a deeper breakdown of how one off items and recurring earnings shape the risk case, skeptics often point to detailed narrative work that goes line by line through these adjustments 🐻 NP3 Fastigheter Bear Case.
Revenue trend steady while EPS moves around
Quarterly revenue for NP3 Fastigheter has stayed within a relatively tight range from SEK 550m to SEK 621m over the past six quarters, while basic EPS over the same period has swung between SEK 2.70 and SEK 7.31, showing that profit per share is much more volatile than the top line.
Supporters with a bullish tilt often focus on the trailing SEK 24.13 EPS. Yet this wide EPS range against fairly stable revenue means the bullish case that earnings are on a smooth upward path is only partly backed by the data, since
EPS jumped from SEK 2.70 in Q2 2025 to SEK 5.75 in Q2 2026 even though revenue moved from SEK 587m to SEK 621m, a change that does not fully explain the EPS swing on its own.
Across the last six quarters, net income excluding extra items moves between SEK 166m and SEK 450m, reinforcing that quarter to quarter profit is sensitive to items beyond simple revenue growth.
Valuation signals split between P/E and DCF fair value
At a share price of SEK 271 and trailing EPS of SEK 24.13, NP3 Fastigheter trades on a P/E of about 11.2x, which sits below the Swedish real estate industry average of 11.4x and below both a peer average of 18.1x and a broader Swedish market multiple of 20.2x. A DCF fair value of SEK 198.11 points to a lower value than the current price.
Critics highlight this gap between a supportive relative P/E and the lower DCF fair value, arguing that the stock’s apparent cheapness on earnings multiples is less convincing once the SEK 671m one off and forecasts for an average 9.4% annual earnings decline over the next three years are taken into account, because
The trailing P/E of 11.2x is calculated on earnings that include the non recurring gain, so if earnings fall as expected the multiple on future EPS would likely be higher than it appears today.
Debt is flagged as not well covered by operating cash flow, which aligns more closely with the cautious picture suggested by the DCF fair value of SEK 198.11 than with the seemingly low P/E at SEK 271.
Don't just look at this quarter; the real story is in the long-term trend. We've done an in-depth analysis on NP3 Fastigheter's growth and its valuation to see if today's price is a bargain. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio now so you don't miss the next big move.
With sentiment on NP3 Fastigheter split between risk and reward, now is a good time to look through the numbers yourself and decide where you stand. Then weigh both sides carefully with the help of the 4 key rewards and 4 important warning signs.
See What Else Is Out There
For NP3 Fastigheter, a large one off gain, volatile EPS against relatively steady revenue, and concerns around debt coverage raise questions about the quality and resilience of earnings.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.