The board of LEC, Inc. (TSE:7874) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 8th of June, with investors receiving ¥10.00 per share. This payment means that the dividend yield will be 1.9%, which is around the industry average.
Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Before making this announcement, LEC was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. This means that most of what the business earns is being used to help it grow.
Unless the company can turn things around, EPS could fall by 4.8% over the next year. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 35%, which is definitely feasible to continue.
View our latest analysis for LEC
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥10.00 in 2016 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥20.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.2% a year over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though LEC's EPS has declined at around 4.8% a year. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth.
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for LEC (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.