JALCO Holdings Inc. (TSE:6625) will pay a dividend of ¥18.00 on the 9th of June. The dividend yield will be 4.3% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, the dividend made up 1,936% of earnings, and the company was generating negative free cash flows. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.
Looking forward, EPS could fall by 33.2% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 4,508%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.
View our latest analysis for JALCO Holdings
JALCO Holdings' dividend has been pretty stable for a little while now, but we will continue to be cautious until it has been demonstrated for a few more years. Since 2021, the dividend has gone from ¥2.00 total annually to ¥18.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 55% a year over that time. JALCO Holdings has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. Over the past five years, it looks as though JALCO Holdings' EPS has declined at around 33% a year. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.
Overall, while some might be pleased that the dividend wasn't cut, we think this may help JALCO Holdings make more consistent payments in the future. The company seems to be stretching itself a bit to make such big payments, but it doesn't appear they can be consistent over time. We don't think that this is a great candidate to be an income stock.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for JALCO Holdings (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is JALCO Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.