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To own TotalEnergies, you need to believe its balanced model in hydrocarbons, LNG and growing power can keep funding attractive cash returns while it builds a lower carbon portfolio. The latest Seagreen curtailment news and continued buybacks do not materially change the near term picture, where commodity price volatility remains a key catalyst and policy driven energy transition and decarbonization pressures continue to be a central risk.
The ongoing share repurchase program, recently confirmed for purchases made on 29–30 December 2025 under existing shareholder authorizations, ties directly into that catalyst by reinforcing the role of buybacks in TotalEnergies’ equity story. Alongside Seagreen’s grid bottlenecks, it also underlines how capital is being recycled between legacy hydrocarbons, expanding power activities and shareholder distributions in real time.
But while buybacks and dividends may attract attention, investors should also be aware of how faster decarbonization policies and electrification could...
Read the full narrative on TotalEnergies (it's free!)
TotalEnergies' narrative projects $194.9 billion revenue and $15.8 billion earnings by 2028.
Uncover how TotalEnergies' forecasts yield a €63.30 fair value, a 19% upside to its current price.
Seventeen members of the Simply Wall St Community currently place TotalEnergies’ fair value between €51.96 and €201.71, highlighting very different return expectations. Set against that, the risk that decarbonization policies outpace the growth of TotalEnergies’ renewables and power portfolio could have far reaching consequences for future earnings resilience and investor outcomes.
Explore 17 other fair value estimates on TotalEnergies - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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