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To own FMC today, you really have to believe the company can repair its cash flows and reduce leverage while staying competitive in crop protection. The 86% dividend cut and India exit put the near term focus firmly on liquidity and debt covenants, making balance sheet risk the key issue and leaving upcoming earnings updates as the most important catalyst to show whether this reset is gaining any traction.
The recent credit agreement amendment, which extends covenant relief and effectively caps the quarterly dividend at US$0.08 unless leverage improves, ties directly into this story. It underscores how closely FMC’s capital returns are now linked to deleveraging progress, and it frames the next few quarters as a test of whether cost actions and any recovery in pricing can support a more sustainable capital structure.
Yet investors should also be aware of the risk that FMC’s elevated net leverage and dependence on EBITDA improvement could...
Read the full narrative on FMC (it's free!)
FMC's narrative projects $4.8 billion revenue and $542.8 million earnings by 2028. This requires 5.5% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $413 million from $129.7 million today.
Uncover how FMC's forecasts yield a $24.92 fair value, a 70% upside to its current price.
Seven Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates cluster between US$24.92 and US$44.31, showing how far apart individual views can be. Set these alongside FMC’s elevated net leverage and reliance on future EBITDA growth, and you can see why it helps to weigh several independent perspectives before forming your own view.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on FMC - why the stock might be worth just $24.92!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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