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To own Surf Air Mobility, you need to believe that SurfOS can evolve from an internal tool into a widely adopted software platform for regional and private aviation, while the airline business moves toward operational stability. The latest US$26 million SurfOS funding and deeper Palantir integration speak directly to the near term catalyst of commercializing SurfOS, but they do not remove the key risks around execution, ongoing losses, and reliance on external capital.
Among recent announcements, the June 2025 unveiling of BrokerOS, OperatorOS, and OwnerOS for a planned 2026 launch is most relevant, because it set expectations that SurfOS could become a meaningful, higher margin revenue stream. The December update effectively reaffirms that roadmap with tangible product progress and added implementation support from Palantir, which matters for investors who are watching whether software traction can eventually offset the capital intensity and contract exposure of the airline segment.
However, investors also need to weigh how the unproven commercialization of SurfOS could still...
Read the full narrative on Surf Air Mobility (it's free!)
Surf Air Mobility's narrative projects $258.5 million revenue and $17.6 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Surf Air Mobility's forecasts yield a $7.88 fair value, a 158% upside to its current price.
Seven members of the Simply Wall St Community currently value Surf Air Mobility between US$5.00 and US$12.39 per share, reflecting a wide spread of expectations. Against that backdrop, the still untested SurfOS rollout and its execution risk could materially influence how sustainably the business can support any of those valuations over time, so it is worth comparing several of these viewpoints before forming a view.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Surf Air Mobility - why the stock might be worth just $5.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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