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    Rayonier (RYN) Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Weakness And Undervaluation Narrative

    Simply Wall St·01/07/2026 23:37:52
    語音播報

    Rayonier stock: recent performance snapshot

    Rayonier (RYN) has attracted fresh attention after recent trading left the shares at US$21.66, with returns near flat over the past week and a negative move over the past 3 months and year.

    See our latest analysis for Rayonier.

    At the current share price of US$21.66, Rayonier’s recent drift lower, including a 17.45% 3 month share price decline and a 6.67% 1 year total shareholder return decline, points to fading momentum as investors reassess its risk and income profile.

    If Rayonier’s softer run has you rethinking your exposure, it could be a good moment to broaden your search with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for fresh ideas backed by aligned insiders.

    With Rayonier trading at US$21.66 and some valuation tools suggesting a discount to intrinsic value and analyst targets, you now have to ask yourself: is this a genuine opportunity, or is the market already pricing in future growth?

    Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 22.2% Undervalued

    With Rayonier last closing at US$21.66 against a narrative fair value of about US$27.83, the widely followed view sees meaningful upside baked into its cash flows and assets.

    The development and sale of high-value real estate in the U.S. South, particularly through large master-planned communities like Wildlight and Heartwood, is associated with population growth and migration trends; continued demand and a substantial unsold acreage pipeline support expectations for steadily increasing earnings and margin enhancement.

    Read the complete narrative.

    Curious how a timber REIT ends up with this kind of valuation gap? The narrative leans heavily on changing revenue mix, slimmer margins, and a punchy future earnings multiple to get there.

    Result: Fair Value of $27.83 (UNDERVALUED)

    Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

    However, climate related damage to Southern timber assets and softer pulpwood demand, together with reduced geographic diversification after the New Zealand sale, could quickly challenge that upside story.

    Find out about the key risks to this Rayonier narrative.

    Build Your Own Rayonier Narrative

    If this storyline does not sit right with you, or you would rather test the assumptions yourself, you can build your own view in minutes with Do it your way.

    A great starting point for your Rayonier research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

    Looking for more investment ideas?

    If Rayonier is just one piece of your watchlist, this is the moment to widen your scope and hunt for other opportunities before they move without you.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.