Stellantis (BIT:STLAM) is back on many investors’ screens after its latest annual results, which paired €146.1b in revenue with a net loss of €2.4b and prompted fresh questions about how the market is pricing the stock.
See our latest analysis for Stellantis.
The annual results arrive after a weak stretch for the stock. The 30 day share price return is 9.66%, the year to date share price return shows a decline of 3.16%, the 1 year total shareholder return shows a decline of 19.86%, and the 3 year total shareholder return shows a decline of 18.49%. Taken together, these figures suggest momentum has been fading, despite a slightly positive 90 day share price return of 0.98%.
If this earnings update has you reassessing the auto space, it could be a good moment to compare Stellantis with other auto manufacturers that might fit your watchlist next.
With an intrinsic value estimate suggesting a 65.6% discount but a recent net loss of €2.4b, is Stellantis being overlooked after a weak share price run, or is the market already pricing in all the growth that lies ahead?
Stellantis' most followed narrative pegs fair value at about €9.75 per share, slightly above the last close of €9.41, framing the current discount as modest rather than dramatic.
Sequential improvements in operating margins and halved cash flow outflows from 2H 2024 to 1H 2025, combined with a robust liquidity position (25-30% of trailing 12-month revenue), indicate underlying operational progress that could drive higher future net margins and cash generation as near-term headwinds subside.
Curious what earnings path could support this fair value, and why the future profit multiple stays low for a global auto group? The narrative leans on measured revenue growth, margin rebuild, and a specific discount rate to justify that price tag. The details behind those assumptions are where the story really gets interesting.
Result: Fair Value of €9.75 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, this fair value story still runs into real pressure points, particularly tariff related cost risk in North America and margin strain as lower profitability BEVs ramp up in Europe.
Find out about the key risks to this Stellantis narrative.
If you see the numbers differently or want to stress test your own assumptions instead, you can build a personalised Stellantis view in just a few minutes: Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Stellantis research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
If Stellantis is on your radar, do not stop there. The bigger wins often come from comparing a few focused ideas side by side before you commit.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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