• 繁

    • -+ 0.00%
    -+ 0.00%
    -+ 0.00%

    A Look At Resideo Technologies (REZI) Valuation After Its Surprising Full Year Guidance Raise

    Simply Wall St·01/06/2026 20:15:25
    語音播報

    Why Resideo’s guidance shift matters for investors

    Resideo Technologies (REZI) issued the largest full year guidance raise in its peer group after a slower third quarter, where revenue slightly missed expectations and adjusted operating income and EBITDA came in below estimates.

    See our latest analysis for Resideo Technologies.

    The guidance raise comes after a mixed few months for the stock, with a 7.13% 1 month share price return and a 90 day share price decline of 14.66%. Even so, the 1 year total shareholder return of 59.35% and 3 year total shareholder return of 102.46% point to momentum that has been strong over a longer horizon, as investors reassess both the risks and potential of Resideo’s home comfort and security business.

    If Resideo’s shift in outlook has you rethinking your watchlist, this could be a useful moment to broaden your search with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

    With Resideo trading at a discount to both analyst targets and some intrinsic value estimates while still reporting a loss, the key question is simple: is the recent guidance shift a genuine buying opportunity, or is future growth already priced in?

    Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 12.7% Undervalued

    Resideo’s most followed narrative pegs fair value at US$41.50, compared with the last close of US$36.22. This puts the valuation debate front and center.

    The planned separation of the ADI segment and portfolio optimization are set to sharpen strategic focus and resource allocation, enabling both entities to better address evolving industry needs and unlocking potential value, with positive implications for operating leverage, margin profile, and long-term earnings power.

    Read the complete narrative.

    Curious what sits behind that value uplift? The narrative leans heavily on a step change in margins, earnings power, and a re-rate of the future profit multiple. Result: Fair Value of $41.5 (UNDERVALUED)

    Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

    However, that upside case depends on Resideo fending off bigger tech rivals in smart home products and avoiding prolonged softness in key residential and security end markets.

    Find out about the key risks to this Resideo Technologies narrative.

    Build Your Own Resideo Technologies Narrative

    If this storyline does not quite match your view, or you prefer to work from the raw numbers yourself, you can shape a fresh thesis in minutes with Do it your way.

    A great starting point for your Resideo Technologies research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

    Looking for more investment ideas?

    If Resideo is already on your radar, do not stop there. Use this moment to widen your opportunity set before the next wave of ideas gets crowded.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.