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To own Clarivate, you need to believe its data and software platforms can deepen their role in research and IP workflows while the shift to subscriptions and margin improvement takes hold. The Nissan IPfolio win supports the innovation story, but the Morgan Stanley downgrade highlights that AI driven competition remains the key near term risk to that margin and subscription based narrative. For now, the impact of this single customer win looks positive but not transformational.
Among recent developments, Clarivate’s ongoing share buyback program, with US$149.47 million spent through September 2025, stands out alongside these headlines. For some investors, that capital return can reinforce confidence in the subscription and SaaS transition, even as concerns about AI enabled competitors and flattish growth expectations continue to frame the debate around Clarivate’s next leg of performance.
Yet behind the promise of automation and analytics, the competitive threat from rapidly evolving AI tools is something investors should be aware of...
Read the full narrative on Clarivate (it's free!)
Clarivate's narrative projects $2.5 billion revenue and $3.4 million earnings by 2028. This assumes revenue will decline by 0.1% per year and requires an earnings increase of about $436.7 million from -$433.3 million today.
Uncover how Clarivate's forecasts yield a $4.68 fair value, a 38% upside to its current price.
Six fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range widely, from US$0.16 to US$15.69 per share, showing how far views can stretch. Against that backdrop, concerns about AI driven competitors and potential commoditization urge you to compare these different perspectives and consider what might matter most for Clarivate’s long term profitability.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Clarivate - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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