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To own ORIX, you need to be comfortable with a diversified financial group that is steadily tilting toward fee-based, global asset management while still carrying earnings volatility from asset sales and legacy exposures. The creation of the USA & Europe Business Unit under Terry Suzuki supports that asset management focus, but does not materially change the near term tension between lumpy capital gains and the push for more stable, recurring profits.
The most relevant recent announcement here is ORIX’s raised FY2026 net income guidance to ¥440,000 million, which underscores how current profitability still reflects a mix of underlying operations and sizable one off items. Against that backdrop, tighter coordination across U.S. and European asset managers could be helpful for building a steadier fee base, even as higher interest rates and potential impairments continue to weigh on parts of the portfolio.
Yet beneath the headline of higher guidance, investors should be aware that ORIX’s reliance on capital gains and one off items...
Read the full narrative on ORIX (it's free!)
ORIX's narrative projects ¥3,419.9 billion revenue and ¥469.0 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 5.2% yearly revenue growth and about ¥96.9 billion earnings increase from ¥372.1 billion today.
Uncover how ORIX's forecasts yield a ¥4565 fair value, in line with its current price.
Two Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates span from ¥4,565 to about ¥8,817, showing very different views on ORIX’s upside. When you set that beside ORIX’s push to grow global asset management fees, it becomes even more important to compare several viewpoints on how quickly earnings quality might improve.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on ORIX - why the stock might be worth just ¥4565!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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