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To own NRG Energy, you need to believe that large scale, grid based power will remain essential for data center and electrification demand, and that NRG can fund this reliably despite its high debt load and fossil exposure. Kevin Howell’s board resignation, with no stated policy dispute, does not appear to change the key near term catalyst around Cedar Bayou or the leading risk tied to NRG’s leverage and refinancing needs in a higher rate setting.
The most relevant update here is NRG’s new US$3.00 billion share repurchase program through 2028, which sits alongside the Cedar Bayou financing and recent dividend increase. Together, these decisions highlight how the board is currently balancing large capital projects for data center related demand with ongoing cash returns, even as investors weigh the risk that significant new borrowing for gas assets could restrict financial flexibility if conditions tighten.
Yet behind the Cedar Bayou growth story, investors should also be aware of refinancing and interest rate risk...
Read the full narrative on NRG Energy (it's free!)
NRG Energy's narrative projects $34.5 billion revenue and $1.6 billion earnings by 2028.
Uncover how NRG Energy's forecasts yield a $201.58 fair value, a 21% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently value NRG Energy between US$145 and about US$611 per share, showing a very wide spread of opinion. As you weigh those views against NRG’s heavy use of debt to fund new gas generation, it is worth considering how different expectations for future borrowing costs and policy on fossil fuels could shape the company’s longer term performance.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on NRG Energy - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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