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To own MINISO, you need to believe its global rollout of larger, experience-led stores and IP-heavy ranges can support sustained revenue and earnings growth without eroding margins. The Warsaw flagship strengthens the near term catalyst around IP-driven, higher value sales, but it also heightens the key risk of rising operating and labor costs if these big-format stores do not deliver enough productivity.
Against this backdrop, MINISO’s ongoing share repurchase program, which has retired 14,575,804 shares for about HK$468.89 million under the August 2024 plan, is particularly relevant. It reinforces the existing catalyst of capital returns supported by cash generation, but also raises the bar for managing cost inflation as the company scales directly operated overseas flagships like Warsaw.
Yet while the Warsaw opening looks exciting, investors should be aware that rising selling and labor costs could...
Read the full narrative on MINISO Group Holding (it's free!)
MINISO Group Holding's narrative projects CN¥31.7 billion revenue and CN¥4.9 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 19.4% yearly revenue growth and a CN¥2.5 billion earnings increase from CN¥2.4 billion today.
Uncover how MINISO Group Holding's forecasts yield a $26.87 fair value, a 38% upside to its current price.
Seven members of the Simply Wall St Community value MINISO between US$23.00 and US$44.06 per share, highlighting very different expectations. Set against this spread, the company’s push into large, IP-focused European flagships puts even more focus on whether cost discipline can protect margins over time.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on MINISO Group Holding - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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