Chen Zheng, a lecturer at the Institute for Advanced Studies in Regional and Global Governance at Beijing Foreign Studies University and a researcher at the Taihe Think Tank, analyzed that in recent months, the US has continued to increase its military deployment in the waters off Venezuela in the Caribbean Sea under the name of “fighting drug trafficking,” including deploying missile destroyers, amphibious attack ships, nuclear submarines, and F-35 fighters, etc., creating a high-pressure situation. The direct trigger for this attack stemmed from the US military's “blockade” and escalation of interception operations against Venezuelan oil tankers in December 2025. For example, on December 16, 2025, Trump announced a “complete blockade” of all sanctioned Venezuelan tankers and officially launched the Navy's “quarantine” measures on December 19, 2025, which led to a strong backlash and defensive military exercises by the Commission. Chen Zheng said that the underlying reason for this attack is that America's national security strategy is shifting to the Western hemisphere, and Trump is implementing the so-called “Monroe Doctrine” “Trump Inference”, that is, “extraterritorial forces must not meddle in South American affairs; America is the final arbiter in Western hemisphere affairs.” The primary target chosen by the United States is Venezuela. This is a “model project”; it can only win, not lose. If a change of government cannot be promoted, then many countries in South America will question America's strength. Therefore, even if America takes the world's lead, it must push for change.

Chen Zheng, a lecturer at the Institute for Advanced Studies in Regional and Global Governance at Beijing Foreign Studies University and a researcher at the Taihe Think Tank, analyzed that in recent months, the US has continued to increase its military deployment in the waters off Venezuela in the Caribbean Sea under the name of “fighting drug trafficking,” including deploying missile destroyers, amphibious attack ships, nuclear submarines, and F-35 fighters, etc., creating a high-pressure situation. The direct trigger for this attack stemmed from the US military's “blockade” and escalation of interception operations against Venezuelan oil tankers in December 2025. For example, on December 16, 2025, Trump announced a “complete blockade” of all sanctioned Venezuelan tankers and officially launched the Navy's “quarantine” measures on December 19, 2025, which led to a strong backlash and defensive military exercises by the Commission. Chen Zheng said that the underlying reason for this attack is that America's national security strategy is shifting to the Western hemisphere, and Trump is implementing the so-called “Monroe Doctrine” “Trump Inference”, that is, “extraterritorial forces must not meddle in South American affairs; America is the final arbiter in Western hemisphere affairs.” The primary target chosen by the United States is Venezuela. This is a “model project”; it can only win, not lose. If a change of government cannot be promoted, then many countries in South America will question America's strength. Therefore, even if America takes the world's lead, it must push for change.