Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?
So should New Times (HKG:166) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When New Times last reported its June 2025 balance sheet in September 2025, it had zero debt and cash worth HK$503m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through HK$129m. So it had a cash runway of about 3.9 years from June 2025. A runway of this length affords the company the time and space it needs to develop the business. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
See our latest analysis for New Times
We reckon the fact that New Times managed to shrink its cash burn by 37% over the last year is rather encouraging. Unfortunately, however, operating revenue declined by 4.3% during the period. On balance, we'd say the company is improving over time. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how New Times has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.
While New Times seems to be in a decent position, we reckon it is still worth thinking about how easily it could raise more cash, if that proved desirable. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
New Times has a market capitalisation of HK$332m and burnt through HK$129m last year, which is 39% of the company's market value. That's fairly notable cash burn, so if the company had to sell shares to cover the cost of another year's operations, shareholders would suffer some costly dilution.
Even though its cash burn relative to its market cap makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought New Times' cash runway was relatively promising. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for New Times that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.
If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.