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    Markets bet on whether the Federal Reserve will hike rates by 0bps at their January 2026 meeting

    Barchart·12/27/2025 03:38:17
    語音播報

    Kalshi has reported 92,175 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2026 meeting?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

    The market currently is implying a 85% chance for "Fed maintains rate", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 85% probability.

    If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on January 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,239,511 transactions since it was first opened on September 29, 2025. There are 877,740 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 10,622,791 contracts.

    Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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