Do Its Financials Have Any Role To Play In Driving Hindalco Industries Limited's (NSE:HINDALCO) Stock Up Recently?

Hindalco Industries (NSE:HINDALCO) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 17% over the last three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. Specifically, we decided to study Hindalco Industries' ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

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How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hindalco Industries is:

13% = ₹178b ÷ ₹1.3t (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2025).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every ₹1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated ₹0.13 in profit.

View our latest analysis for Hindalco Industries

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Hindalco Industries' Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

On the face of it, Hindalco Industries' ROE is not much to talk about. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 9.7% which we definitely can't overlook. This probably goes some way in explaining Hindalco Industries' moderate 16% growth over the past five years amongst other factors. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Hindalco Industries' reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 24% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Hindalco Industries is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Hindalco Industries Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

In Hindalco Industries' case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 6.8% (or a retention ratio of 93%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

Moreover, Hindalco Industries is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 7.1%. As a result, Hindalco Industries' ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 12% for future ROE.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Hindalco Industries has some positive aspects to its business. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a moderate rate of return, that has resulted in a respectable growth in its earnings. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.