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Is Weakness In Sumitomo Forestry Co., Ltd. (TSE:1911) Stock A Sign That The Market Could be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

Simply Wall St·12/25/2025 21:18:14
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Sumitomo Forestry's (TSE:1911) recent performance, when its stock has declined 8.5% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Sumitomo Forestry's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sumitomo Forestry is:

13% = JP¥134b ÷ JP¥1.0t (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2025).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every ¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of ¥0.13.

See our latest analysis for Sumitomo Forestry

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Sumitomo Forestry's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

At first glance, Sumitomo Forestry seems to have a decent ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 8.3% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. This probably laid the ground for Sumitomo Forestry's moderate 13% net income growth seen over the past five years.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Sumitomo Forestry's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 4.4% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
TSE:1911 Past Earnings Growth December 25th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Sumitomo Forestry is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Sumitomo Forestry Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

In Sumitomo Forestry's case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 25% (or a retention ratio of 75%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

Besides, Sumitomo Forestry has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Sumitomo Forestry's performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.