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Did Baker Hughes' (BKR) New LNG and Upstream Wins Just Shift Its Investment Narrative?

Simply Wall St·12/25/2025 21:19:56
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  • Earlier this week, Baker Hughes announced it received a Full Notice To Proceed from Technip Energies, on behalf of Commonwealth LNG, to supply six LM9000-powered refrigerant turbo compressors for a 9.5 million tonnes per annum export facility under development in Cameron, Louisiana.
  • This LNG equipment award, alongside Baker Hughes’ recent multi-year artificial lift and digital optimization contract with Kuwait Oil Company, underscores how its gas technology and production solutions are being embedded into large, long-duration energy projects across both LNG and upstream markets.
  • We’ll now examine how winning the Commonwealth LNG liquefaction equipment award could influence Baker Hughes’ investment narrative and future cash-flow visibility.

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Baker Hughes Investment Narrative Recap

To own Baker Hughes, you need to believe that LNG, natural gas and gas technology will remain central in meeting global energy demand, and that the company can keep converting that demand into profitable, long-duration equipment and service backlogs. The Commonwealth LNG award solidifies near to medium term cash flow visibility within its gas technology franchise; it does not, however, fundamentally reduce Baker Hughes’ biggest near term risk around policy driven shifts toward renewables and potential pressure on gas centric growth assumptions.

Among the recent updates, the multi year artificial lift and digital optimization agreement with Kuwait Oil Company stands out as highly relevant. Together with the Commonwealth LNG order, it reinforces one of Baker Hughes’ key catalysts: building a larger base of contractually backed, technology heavy work across LNG and upstream production, which can support backlog resilience even if shorter cycle oilfield spending and rig activity remain choppy.

Yet even with these new contracts, investors still need to watch the risk that faster policy shifts toward renewables and electrification could...

Read the full narrative on Baker Hughes (it's free!)

Baker Hughes' narrative projects $29.1 billion revenue and $2.9 billion earnings by 2028.

Uncover how Baker Hughes' forecasts yield a $53.14 fair value, a 17% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

BKR 1-Year Stock Price Chart
BKR 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see Baker Hughes’ fair value between US$50 and about US$74.8, highlighting a wide span of individual expectations. Set against that, the company’s growing backlog of large LNG and production technology contracts ties its prospects closely to how durable gas centric energy demand ultimately proves to be for future returns.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Baker Hughes - why the stock might be worth just $50.00!

Build Your Own Baker Hughes Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Baker Hughes research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Baker Hughes research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Baker Hughes' overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.