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Northern Trust tends to appeal to investors who value a conservative balance sheet, steady profitability and a focus on fee-based businesses tied to large, complex clients. The most immediate catalyst remains how effectively the firm converts recent cost and technology efforts into margin improvement, while the biggest risk is that revenue growth lags broader capital markets; these leadership changes do not appear to materially alter either near-term.
The creation of a firmwide chief transformation officer role, given to Melanie Pickett, looks most relevant here because it concentrates accountability for innovation, automation and operating efficiency in one seat, which ties directly into the thesis that technology and process upgrades can bend Northern Trust’s cost curve and support more durable earnings growth, even if top line expansion proves modest.
But investors should also be aware that slower expected revenue growth compared with the wider US market could leave Northern Trust more exposed if ...
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Northern Trust's narrative projects $8.2 billion revenue and $1.4 billion earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Northern Trust's forecasts yield a $134.64 fair value, a 4% downside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently place Northern Trust’s fair value anywhere between about US$114 and over US$254,000 per share, showing just how far apart individual models can be. Against that backdrop, the company’s push to centralize transformation efforts around technology and efficiency may prove important for how its slower forecast revenue growth translates into future profitability, so it is worth weighing several viewpoints before forming a view.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Northern Trust - why the stock might be a potential multi-bagger!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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