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To own Fox, you need to believe its focus on live news and sports, plus growing digital assets, can offset structural pressure on traditional TV. The latest earnings beat and price target hikes support the near term earnings story, but do not remove the key risk that secular shifts in viewing could eventually weigh on both advertising and affiliate fees.
The Guggenheim and Goldman Sachs price target increases to US$85 and US$87, following Fox’s stronger than expected fiscal first quarter, are the clearest tie to this story, because they hinge on Fox’s execution and earnings resilience rather than any one-off event. That matters for investors watching whether Fox’s operational discipline and balance sheet strength can keep underpinning returns if growth in core TV slows.
Yet investors should be alert to how reliant this thesis is on live news and sports holding their pricing power...
Read the full narrative on Fox (it's free!)
Fox's narrative projects $16.4 billion revenue and $1.9 billion earnings by 2028. This assumes revenue will decline by 0.3% per year and implies a $0.4 billion decrease in earnings from $2.3 billion today.
Uncover how Fox's forecasts yield a $73.22 fair value, in line with its current price.
Four fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$72.63 to US$90.37, underscoring how differently individual investors assess Fox’s prospects. Set against recent analyst optimism around Fox’s consistent earnings outperformance, this spread invites you to weigh several competing views on how durable that performance really is.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Fox - why the stock might be worth just $72.63!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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