Evaluating TPG (TPG) Stock’s Valuation After Its Recent 17% Monthly Climb

Assessing TPG stock after its recent climb

TPG (TPG) has quietly pushed higher over the past month, gaining about 17% while the broader market churned. That move, combined with solid multi year returns, has investors revisiting the stock’s setup.

See our latest analysis for TPG.

Looking beyond the recent pop, TPG’s roughly flat year to date share price return sits in the shadow of an exceptional three year total shareholder return of about 164%. This suggests longer term momentum remains firmly intact even as short term sentiment recalibrates.

If TPG’s run has you thinking about what else might be quietly compounding in the background, it is worth exploring fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as a way to uncover other under the radar growth stories.

With earnings momentum solid but revenue contracting and the share price hovering just below analyst targets, the key question now is whether TPG still trades below its true potential or if the market already reflects future growth.

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 1.2% Undervalued

With the narrative fair value sitting just above TPG’s last close of $65.19, the setup hinges on how aggressively future profitability can scale.

Strategic investments and acquisitions such as the Peppertree acquisition (immediately accretive to fee-related earnings) and new fund launches are increasing platform scale and operating leverage. This is translating into improved net margins and supporting long-term earnings growth as the firm captures a larger share of the expanding private markets opportunity set.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see why shrinking top line expectations still lead to a richer valuation? The narrative leans on a powerful profit mix shift and ambitious earnings multiple. Curious how those moving parts add up to today’s fair value call?

Result: Fair Value of $66 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent fundraising headwinds and tougher exit conditions could quickly challenge the profit mix shift that underpins today’s undervalued narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this TPG narrative.

Build Your Own TPG Narrative

If you see the story differently or prefer to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a custom view in minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your TPG research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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