Can Innoviz (INVZ) Turn Cheaper, Slimmer LiDAR Into Lasting Autonomy Scale Advantages?

• In December 2025, Innoviz Technologies launched its InnovizThree LiDAR, a slimmer, lower-power, over-35%-cheaper sensor with extended detection ranges beyond 250 meters and flexible mounting options, targeting both automotive and emerging AI-enabled platforms like humanoids, micro robotics, and drones.
• By pairing this product introduction with live behind-the-windshield demonstrations and test drives at CES 2026, Innoviz is using InnovizThree as a showcase to broaden automaker engagement and highlight potential applications well beyond passenger vehicles.
• Next, we’ll examine how InnovizThree’s slimmer, lower-cost LiDAR design could reshape Innoviz Technologies’ existing investment narrative around scaling autonomous systems.

The end of cancer? These 29 emerging AI stocks are developing tech that will allow early identification of life changing diseases like cancer and Alzheimer's.

Innoviz Technologies Investment Narrative Recap

To own Innoviz, you need to believe that its LiDAR can become a core sensor for autonomous systems across cars, trucks, and emerging AI platforms, despite ongoing losses and heavy reliance on project-based NRE income. The InnovizThree launch looks directionally positive but does not immediately change the key near term swing factors: converting development programs into firm series production awards and managing cash burn in a highly competitive sensing market.

The CES 2026 announcement, with behind the windshield InnovizThree demos and pre scheduled test drives, is the clearest link to this product launch, as it puts InnovizThree in front of OEM decision makers alongside InnovizTwo and InnovizSMART. For investors, this event sits right at the intersection of the main catalyst expanding automotive adoption and the central risk that existing development agreements never progress into high volume, standard fit deployments.

Yet investors should be aware that heavy dependence on NRE milestones and uncertain conversion to mass production could...

Read the full narrative on Innoviz Technologies (it's free!)

Innoviz Technologies' narrative projects $445.7 million revenue and $40.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 127.8% yearly revenue growth and a $114.9 million earnings increase from $-74.6 million today.

Uncover how Innoviz Technologies' forecasts yield a $2.65 fair value, a 173% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

Eight fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$1.20 to US$4.00 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. Against that backdrop, the biggest swing factor remains whether current development programs convert into large scale series production, which could heavily influence Innoviz’s future revenue stability and margin profile.

Explore 8 other fair value estimates on Innoviz Technologies - why the stock might be worth just $1.21!

Build Your Own Innoviz Technologies Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

• A great starting point for your Innoviz Technologies research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
• Our free Innoviz Technologies research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Innoviz Technologies' overall financial health at a glance.

Contemplating Other Strategies?

Right now could be the best entry point. These picks are fresh from our daily scans. Don't delay:

• AI is about to change healthcare. These 29 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10b in market cap - there's still time to get in early.
• Rare earth metals are the new gold rush. Find out which 37 stocks are leading the charge.
• Outshine the giants: these 24 early-stage AI stocks could fund your retirement.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com