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To own Coty today, you have to believe the brand portfolio and fragrance engine can overcome weak consumer beauty trends, heavy competition and a still-fragile balance sheet. The Strobel appointment and leadership reset raise questions around the near term catalyst of a cleaner consumer beauty structure and sharpen the biggest risk right now: execution and timing on the ongoing strategic review while profitability and liquidity remain under pressure.
The sale of Coty’s remaining Wella stake to KKR for US$750,000,000 is particularly relevant here, because it helps fund debt reduction at a moment when analysts are flagging low profitability and liquidity concerns. That upfront cash, combined with potential upside from any future Wella sale or IPO proceeds, gives Coty a little more room to absorb volatility from inventory destocking, license transitions and any portfolio actions that might emerge from the consumer beauty review.
Yet behind the leadership headlines, investors should be aware that liquidity pressures and reliance on blockbuster licenses leave Coty exposed if...
Read the full narrative on Coty (it's free!)
Coty's narrative projects $6.1 billion revenue and $302.1 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Coty's forecasts yield a $4.83 fair value, a 58% upside to its current price.
Five members of the Simply Wall St Community currently estimate Coty’s fair value between US$3.69 and US$9.09, underlining how far opinions can diverge. Against that backdrop, the execution risk around Coty’s consumer beauty review and ongoing leadership transition could be a key swing factor for the company’s future performance, so it is worth examining several of these viewpoints in detail.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Coty - why the stock might be worth just $3.69!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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