Caterpillar (CAT) shares have more than doubled since early April as agriculture and manufacturing markets recovered to create solid demand for its equipment and services across multiple sectors.
The Irvine-headquartered firm is currently the top performer in the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI), which reflects its strong positioning within heavy machinery and equipment manufacturing.
At the time of writing, Caterpillar stock is up nearly 60% versus the start of this year.
Citi analysts expect continued momentum in the construction and mining sector to drive CAT stock higher over the next 12 months.
According to them, the company’s impressive $40 billion backlog in power generation applications is a major competitive strength, one that could push its share price up further to $690 next year.
Plus, the recent team up with Vertiv (VRT) on developing energy-optimization solutions for data centers positions Caterpillar to capitalize on the growing digital infrastructure demand, they added.
Historically, the industrial stock pops some 1.53% on average in January, which makes it somewhat more attractive to own heading into 2026.
Caterpillar shares are worth owning for the long-term also because the heavy machinery landscape is experiencing significant transformation driven by the artificial intelligence (AI) buildout.
Why? Because it requires extensive construction of data centers, power facilities, and supporting infrastructure across multiple sectors.
This AI-enabled diversification signals additional revenue streams and massive potential for CAT to grow in high-margin applications.
Beyond strong financials (with free cash flow exceeding $3 billion in the third quarter), the NYSE-listed behemoth remains appealing because of its dividend aristocrat status as well.
Note that Caterpillar currently has its 100-day relative strength index set at 59 only, signaling the upward momentum will likely sustain in early 2026.
Wall Street more broadly sees CAT shares as positioned for continued rally in 2026 as well.
According to Barchart, the consensus rating on Caterpillar stock remains at “Moderate Buy” with the mean target of about $604 indicating potential upside of another 4% from here.
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