UT Group Co.,Ltd. (TSE:2146) has announced that on 18th of March, it will be paying a dividend of¥38.96, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. The dividend yield of 5.6% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 148% of what it was earning. It will be difficult to sustain this level of payout so we wouldn't be confident about this continuing.
The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 10.5%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 146%, which probably can't continue without putting some pressure on the balance sheet.
View our latest analysis for UT GroupLtd
UT GroupLtd has been paying dividends for a while, but the track record isn't stellar. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. Since 2018, the dividend has gone from ¥36.93 total annually to ¥162.72. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 24% over that duration. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. However, UT GroupLtd has only grown its earnings per share at 3.8% per annum over the past five years. The company is paying out a lot of its profits, even though it is growing those profits pretty slowly. As they say in finance, 'past performance is not indicative of future performance', but we are not confident a company with limited earnings growth and a high payout ratio will be a star dividend-payer over the next decade.
In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, UT GroupLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about. Is UT GroupLtd not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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