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To own Charles Schwab, you need to believe it can keep translating its large client base and trading volumes into durable earnings, despite fee pressure and heavy reliance on net interest income. The latest platform upgrades reinforce Schwab’s appeal to active traders, but they do not fundamentally change the key near term catalyst, which remains how trading and cash trends feed through to earnings, or the biggest risk around competitive pressure from low cost, digital first rivals.
Among the recent updates, Schwab’s addition of 17 new futures products, including 1 OZ Gold and Solana contracts, looks most tied to the push for deeper engagement with active traders. That offering sits squarely in the middle of the current catalyst story, where higher trading intensity can support revenue, but also intersects with the longer term risk that Schwab must keep investing in technology and product breadth without letting costs run ahead of revenue.
Yet even with these enhancements, investors should be aware that rising tech and product investment could still pressure margins if revenue growth slows...
Read the full narrative on Charles Schwab (it's free!)
Charles Schwab's narrative projects $30.2 billion revenue and $11.0 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 11.8% yearly revenue growth and about a $4.2 billion earnings increase from $6.8 billion today.
Uncover how Charles Schwab's forecasts yield a $111.78 fair value, a 10% upside to its current price.
Seven members of the Simply Wall St Community currently value Schwab between US$79.32 and US$111.78 per share, reflecting a wide spread of expectations. Before you decide where you stand, consider how Schwab’s heavy dependence on net interest income and active trading trends could amplify earnings swings over time.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Charles Schwab - why the stock might be worth as much as 10% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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