Terex Corporation (NYSE:TEX) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 21% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may consider Terex as a stock to potentially avoid with its 23x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Terex's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Terex
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Terex's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 66% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 38% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 45% per year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Terex is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
Terex shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Terex maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware Terex is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.