Onto Innovation Inc. (NYSE:ONTO) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 8.6% over the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may consider Onto Innovation as a stock to avoid entirely with its 45.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Onto Innovation could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Onto Innovation
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Onto Innovation's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.1% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 14% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 31% per year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Onto Innovation's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
Onto Innovation's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Onto Innovation's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Onto Innovation with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.