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To own Atlanticus Holdings today, you really have to believe in its ability to compound earnings by efficiently funding high-yield consumer receivables, while managing credit risk and a complex securitization engine. Short-term, the key catalysts remain receivables growth, credit performance and access to reasonably priced funding. The Mercury refinancing directly supports that story: a 200-plus basis point coupon cut on a US$750,000,000 term securitization should meaningfully reduce interest expense, ease pressure on margins and slightly improve leverage metrics. Given the recent share price strength, the market appears to be treating this as a real positive, although it does not remove the core risks around funding dependence and cash flow coverage of debt. Instead, it slightly tilts the risk-reward toward the upside, provided asset quality holds up.
However, investors also need to consider the company’s reliance on securitization funding and cash generation. Atlanticus Holdings' shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued by 9%. Find out what it's worth.Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Atlanticus Holdings - why the stock might be a potential multi-bagger!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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