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For Mineralys, the big-picture belief is simple: lorundrostat has to move from promising data to an approved, commercially relevant hypertension drug. The JAMA “Research of the Year” nod reinforces the clinical relevance of Launch-HTN and could incrementally strengthen the story around NDA discussions and future partnering or commercialization conversations, but it does not remove the key near-term catalysts or risks. The real swing factors still sit with FDA feedback on the pivotal package, the timing and outcome of the planned NDA submission, and upcoming readouts like EXPLORE-OSA that could broaden the label opportunity. On the risk side, Mineralys remains a single-asset, loss-making biotech with fresh dilution and dependence on third parties for trials and manufacturing, so any regulatory delay or safety concern would matter more than this positive visibility boost.
However, there is one concentration risk here that investors should not ignore. Despite retreating, Mineralys Therapeutics' shares might still be trading above their fair value and there could be some more downside. Discover how much.Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Mineralys Therapeutics - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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