PayPoint plc's (LON:PAY) investors are due to receive a payment of £0.099 per share on 27th of March. This means the annual payment is 9.2% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. PayPoint's stock price has reduced by 34% in the last 3 months, which is not ideal for investors and can explain a sharp increase in the dividend yield.
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 169% of what it was earning. Without profits and cash flows increasing, it would be difficult for the company to continue paying the dividend at this level.
Earnings per share is forecast to rise exponentially over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 92%, which is on the higher side, but certainly feasible.
Check out our latest analysis for PayPoint
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of £0.417 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of £0.429. Its dividends have grown at less than 1% per annum over this time frame. The dividend has seen some fluctuations in the past, so even though the dividend was raised this year, we should remember that it has been cut in the past.
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Earnings per share has been sinking by 15% over the last five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.
Overall, while some might be pleased that the dividend wasn't cut, we think this may help PayPoint make more consistent payments in the future. The company seems to be stretching itself a bit to make such big payments, but it doesn't appear they can be consistent over time. The dividend doesn't inspire confidence that it will provide solid income in the future.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 5 warning signs for PayPoint (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is PayPoint not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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