The board of San-Ai Obbli Co., Ltd. (TSE:8097) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥50.00 per share on the 29th of June. The dividend yield will be 4.9% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Before this announcement, San-Ai Obbli was paying out 89% of earnings, but a comparatively small 53% of free cash flows. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.
Over the next year, EPS could expand by 1.5% if the company continues along the path it has been on recently. However, if the dividend continues along recent trends, it could start putting pressure on the balance sheet with the payout ratio reaching 104% over the next year.
View our latest analysis for San-Ai Obbli
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥16.50 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥100.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 20% per annum over that time. It is good to see that there has been strong dividend growth, and that there haven't been any cuts for a long time.
Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Unfortunately, San-Ai Obbli's earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year. There are exceptions, but limited earnings growth and a high payout ratio can signal that a company has reached maturity. That's fine as far as it goes, but we're less enthusiastic as this often signals that the dividend is likely to grow slower in the future.
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about San-Ai Obbli's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The company is generating plenty of cash, but we still think the dividend is a bit high for comfort. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for San-Ai Obbli that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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