Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited (ASX:DMP) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2025 Domino's Pizza Enterprises had debt of AU$867.6m, up from AU$762.4m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$155.5m, its net debt is less, at about AU$712.1m.
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Domino's Pizza Enterprises had liabilities of AU$548.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$1.46b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$155.5m and AU$214.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$1.64b.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of AU$2.09b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
View our latest analysis for Domino's Pizza Enterprises
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Domino's Pizza Enterprises has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.6 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 5.2 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. The bad news is that Domino's Pizza Enterprises saw its EBIT decline by 16% over the last year. If that sort of decline is not arrested, then the managing its debt will be harder than selling broccoli flavoured ice-cream for a premium. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Domino's Pizza Enterprises's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Domino's Pizza Enterprises produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 68% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
We'd go so far as to say Domino's Pizza Enterprises's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Domino's Pizza Enterprises's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Domino's Pizza Enterprises (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.