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To own China Life Insurance today, you need to believe its core life business and investment engine can keep working together to turn premium growth into sustainable earnings, despite market and rate uncertainty. The November gross written premiums update and the RMB5.0 billion real estate injection look consistent with this asset liability story, but they do not materially change the key near term swing factor: how well the company manages investment returns against long term guarantees, nor the risk of earnings pressure if markets turn.
The renewed 2026 to 2028 Asset Management Agreement with China Life Asset Management feels especially relevant here, because it formalizes how assets like INDIGO II sit within group level risk limits and return targets. For investors, this links the recent real estate commitment back to the broader question of whether China Life can contain its comprehensive liability cost while still earning enough on its invested assets to support margins through future market cycles.
Yet investors should be aware that reliance on buoyant investment income leaves China Life exposed if...
Read the full narrative on China Life Insurance (it's free!)
China Life Insurance's narrative projects CN¥746.6 billion revenue and CN¥67.9 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 33.5% yearly revenue growth and a CN¥41.7 billion earnings decrease from CN¥109.6 billion.
Uncover how China Life Insurance's forecasts yield a HK$28.57 fair value, in line with its current price.
Simply Wall St Community members see fair value for China Life between HK$28.57 and HK$97.17, based on just two very different views. Against that wide spread, the risk that future market volatility could erode the recent strength in investment income is a key theme you may want to compare across multiple opinions.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on China Life Insurance - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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