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    Raised AFFO Guidance and Low Leverage Could Be A Game Changer For Getty Realty (GTY)

    Simply Wall St·12/20/2025 08:17:34
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    • Earlier this year, Getty Realty Corp. reported stronger-than-expected quarterly results, raising its AFFO guidance while maintaining portfolio occupancy at 99.8% and highlighting an almost 7% dividend yield.
    • The combination of higher cash-flow guidance, accelerated investment activity, and a balance sheet with low leverage and no major debt due until 2028 underscored the REIT’s income resilience and financial flexibility.
    • We’ll now explore how Getty’s raised AFFO guidance and stronger balance sheet reshape its existing investment narrative for long-term investors.

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    Getty Realty Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Getty Realty, you have to believe that its convenience and auto centric properties can keep earning dependable rent even as mobility and energy use evolve. The latest quarter, with higher AFFO guidance and 99.8% occupancy, supports the income story, but it does little to change the biggest near term swing factor, which is how effectively Getty can keep finding attractive acquisitions in a competitive net lease market without compressing returns.

    The recent agreement to issue US$250,000,000 of senior unsecured notes at a fixed 5.76% rate for ten years fits directly into that catalyst: it refreshes funding capacity to pay down the revolver and continue investing while locking in long term debt costs. That sits alongside the larger revolving credit facility and staggered maturities to extend the runway for new deals, even as the business remains exposed to long term shifts in fuel demand, tenant consolidation, and environmental liabilities.

    Yet behind the near 7% yield and new financing firepower, investors should still be aware of...

    Read the full narrative on Getty Realty (it's free!)

    Getty Realty's narrative projects $252.2 million revenue and $92.5 million earnings by 2028. This requires 6.3% yearly revenue growth and a $29.0 million earnings increase from $63.5 million today.

    Uncover how Getty Realty's forecasts yield a $32.14 fair value, a 15% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    GTY 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    GTY 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Two Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates range from about US$32.14 to US$67.10 per share, showing how far apart views on Getty can be. When you set that against the company leaning on fresh, fixed rate debt to fund new deals, it highlights how differently people assess the reward for taking on acquisition and funding risk in a changing retail fuel and mobility market.

    Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Getty Realty - why the stock might be worth just $32.14!

    Build Your Own Getty Realty Narrative

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.