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    Cresco Labs (CNSX:CL) Is Up 55.2% After Cannabis Rescheduling News Is The Bull Case Changed?

    Simply Wall St·12/19/2025 19:31:14
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    • Cresco Labs recently welcomed the U.S. federal government’s move to reschedule cannabis from Schedule I to Schedule III, calling it a historic policy shift for the regulated cannabis industry.
    • The company highlighted that rescheduling could ease tax burdens, improve access to banking and research, and further legitimize state-regulated cannabis markets, directly supporting its brand-building and expansion efforts.
    • We’ll now examine how easing federal tax burdens and banking frictions could influence Cresco Labs’ existing investment narrative and long-term prospects.

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    Cresco Labs Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Cresco Labs, you need to believe regulated U.S. cannabis will keep shifting demand away from illicit channels and toward scaled, brand focused operators that can turn today’s losses into healthier margins over time. The rescheduling news primarily affects Cresco’s near term tax burden and access to capital, which could ease pressure on its 12.5% debt costs, but does not remove the core risk of price compression in key markets like Illinois.

    The recent refinancing of Cresco’s US$325,000,000 senior secured term loan, maturing in 2030, looks especially relevant in light of potential federal tax relief and improved banking access. If rescheduling meaningfully reduces cash taxes and widens financing options, management may gain more room to reinvest in growth markets such as Ohio, Pennsylvania and Kentucky while still working to manage its elevated interest expense and ongoing net losses.

    But while tax relief could help, investors still need to weigh how persistent pricing pressure in core markets might affect...

    Read the full narrative on Cresco Labs (it's free!)

    Cresco Labs’ narrative projects $686.9 million revenue and $8.3 million earnings by 2028.

    Uncover how Cresco Labs' forecasts yield a CA$2.30 fair value, a 41% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    CNSX:CL 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    CNSX:CL 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Simply Wall St Community members have only two fair value estimates for Cresco Labs, spanning roughly US$2.30 to US$2.92 per share, highlighting how far opinions can stretch. You can weigh those views against the risk that ongoing price compression and recent revenue declines may continue to challenge Cresco’s path toward improved profitability and balance sheet flexibility.

    Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Cresco Labs - why the stock might be worth just CA$2.30!

    Build Your Own Cresco Labs Narrative

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.