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    Did AI-Driven Optical Demand and Data Center Funding Jitters Just Reframe MACOM’s (MTSI) Risk Profile?

    Simply Wall St·12/19/2025 06:33:31
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    • In recent days, MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings has been highlighted as a key enabler of next-generation optical connectivity through Linear Drive Pluggable Optics, even as broader concerns emerged following reports that a very large US$10 billion Oracle–Blue Owl Capital data center funding deal in Michigan stalled.
    • This combination of technological relevance to AI data centers and renewed scrutiny of how hyperscalers finance infrastructure has drawn attention to the resilience and risks in MACOM’s role within the optical ecosystem.
    • Next, we’ll examine how investor worries about AI data center funding structures could influence MACOM’s investment narrative and risk profile.

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    MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Investment Narrative Recap

    To own MACOM, you need to believe that its optical and RF products will stay central to AI data center and high speed connectivity buildouts, while margins gradually improve as new capacity ramps. The Oracle–Blue Owl data center funding setback stirred near term concern around AI infrastructure financing, but it does not appear to directly change MACOM’s key catalyst today, which is execution on AI driven optical demand, or its biggest current risk, which remains margin pressure from underutilized manufacturing assets.

    Among recent developments, MACOM’s positioning around Linear Drive Pluggable Optics feels most relevant here, because LPO sits right at the intersection of AI data center growth and power efficient networking. As investors weigh concerns about how hyperscalers fund new facilities, LPO related demand still anchors the near term growth story, while volatility in data center spending and its impact on MACOM’s optical revenue trajectory stays firmly in view.

    Yet against this promise, the reliance on volatile data center and telecom demand is something investors should be aware of as...

    Read the full narrative on MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (it's free!)

    MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings' narrative projects $1.2 billion revenue and $586.5 million earnings by 2028. This requires 11.2% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $656 million from -$69.9 million today.

    Uncover how MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings' forecasts yield a $184.79 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    MTSI 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    MTSI 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$113.80 to US$184.79, underscoring how far apart individual views can be. You can set these side by side with MACOM’s reliance on cyclical data center and telecom demand, which many see as both its primary growth driver and a key source of earnings volatility.

    Explore 2 other fair value estimates on MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings - why the stock might be worth 34% less than the current price!

    Build Your Own MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Narrative

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.