If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Although, when we looked at Hebei Yichen Industrial Group (HKG:1596), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.019 = CN¥56m ÷ (CN¥3.6b - CN¥648m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2025).
So, Hebei Yichen Industrial Group has an ROCE of 1.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Machinery industry average of 7.9%.
View our latest analysis for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Hebei Yichen Industrial Group.
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Hebei Yichen Industrial Group doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 12%, but since then they've fallen to 1.9%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Hebei Yichen Industrial Group's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Moreover, since the stock has crumbled 81% over the last five years, it appears investors are expecting the worst. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for Hebei Yichen Industrial Group (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.