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To own American Water, you need to believe that regulated water utilities can justify heavy, long‑term infrastructure spending with stable, rate‑supported earnings. The newly affirmed dividend and US$46.00 billion decade‑long investment plan reinforce the existing story of capital intensity and regulated returns, but they do not fundamentally change the key short term catalyst of timely rate approvals or the biggest risk that rising costs and higher interest expenses compress margins.
The dividend declaration of US$0.8275 per share, payable in March 2026, is the most directly relevant announcement here, because it sits alongside an aggressive infrastructure programme. Together, they highlight the tension between rewarding shareholders today and funding multi‑billion‑dollar upgrades, at a time when American Water already relies heavily on debt and faces the risk that capital expenditures could outpace allowed rate base growth and permitted returns.
Yet behind this steady dividend stream lies a growing risk that capital spending might outstrip what regulators allow into the rate base, something investors should be aware of...
Read the full narrative on American Water Works Company (it's free!)
American Water Works Company's narrative projects $6.0 billion revenue and $1.4 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 6.6% yearly revenue growth and about a $0.3 billion earnings increase from $1.1 billion today.
Uncover how American Water Works Company's forecasts yield a $143.78 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.
Four fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span from about US$101 to an outlier near US$9,999, showing how far private opinions can stretch. Against that backdrop, the scale of American Water’s US$46.00 billion planned infrastructure spend and its reliance on regulatory approvals give you strong reasons to compare several viewpoints before deciding what the stock is really worth.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on American Water Works Company - why the stock might be worth 24% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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