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To own Orezone Gold, you need to believe Bomboré can be scaled from a single-asset producer into a larger, longer-life mine without major setbacks. The first hard rock gold pour and 2026 production guidance support the near term growth catalyst of higher output and cash generation, but they also sharpen the key risk that any disruption or cost shock at Bomboré could have an outsized impact on the whole business.
The new 2.5 Mtpa hard rock expansion and guidance for a 45% production uplift to 170,000 to 185,000 ounces in 2026 are the clearest recent milestones tied to that thesis. They speak directly to the core catalyst of ramping volumes and potential margin leverage, while also underlining the execution and ramp up risk that comes with compressing so much growth into a relatively short period.
Yet behind the promise of higher 2026 output, investors should be aware of how exposed Orezone remains to grid reliability and potential political shifts in Burkina Faso...
Read the full narrative on Orezone Gold (it's free!)
Orezone Gold's narrative projects $949.4 million revenue and $421.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 41.1% yearly revenue growth and about a $354 million earnings increase from $67.0 million today.
Uncover how Orezone Gold's forecasts yield a CA$2.42 fair value, a 42% upside to its current price.
Nine members of the Simply Wall St Community value Orezone Gold anywhere between CA$0.73 and CA$37.79 per share, reflecting very different expectations. As you weigh those views, remember that all of this growth still hinges on a single, expanding Bomboré asset in Burkina Faso and what that concentration could mean for future production and cash flow resilience.
Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Orezone Gold - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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