When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider IDACORP, Inc. (NYSE:IDA) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 21.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, IDACORP has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for IDACORP
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as IDACORP's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.7% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen a 19% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 7.4% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 11% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that IDACORP's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of IDACORP's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for IDACORP (1 is potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than IDACORP. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.