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RH (RH) Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Rebound

Simply Wall St·12/16/2025 23:26:59
語音播報

RH (RH) shares have bounced about 2 % over the past day and roughly 6 % in the past week, giving investors a reason to revisit whether this beaten down luxury retailer is mispriced.

See our latest analysis for RH.

That bounce comes after a tough stretch, with the 90 day share price return still down sharply and the 1 year total shareholder return deeply negative. This suggests recent momentum may be more of a tentative reset than a full trend change.

If RH’s volatility has you rethinking your watchlist, it could be a good moment to explore other specialty retailers and design names, or broaden out to fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

With shares still down sharply over the past year yet trading at a sizable discount to both analyst targets and some intrinsic estimates, investors now face a key question: is RH an underappreciated recovery story or is future growth already captured in the price?

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 36.1% Undervalued

Compared to RH’s last close at $167.59, the most popular narrative points to a materially higher fair value, built on aggressive profit and margin expansion.

The company's plans to monetize assets, including real estate with an estimated equity value of approximately $500 million and excess inventory valued at $200 million to $300 million, could boost cash flow and help in reducing debt, potentially improving net margins and lowering interest expenses.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how modest revenue gains could still translate into a step change in profitability. The narrative leans on sharply higher margins and a very different earnings base. Want to see which future profit profile has to become reality for this valuation to make sense.

Result: Fair Value of $262.25 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, a weaker housing market and pressure from tariffs or higher debt costs could easily derail the margin and earnings expansion built into this view.

Find out about the key risks to this RH narrative.

Another View: Market Multiple Sends a Different Signal

Market based metrics paint a more cautious picture. RH trades at a price to earnings ratio of 28.6 times, richer than both peers at 18.9 times and the US Specialty Retail average at 20.3 times. It is only slightly below its fair ratio of 30.1 times, hinting at limited margin for error.

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

NYSE:RH PE Ratio as at Dec 2025
NYSE:RH PE Ratio as at Dec 2025

Build Your Own RH Narrative

If you see the numbers differently or want to stress test your own assumptions, you can quickly build a personalized RH story in under three minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your RH research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.