Yamada Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:9831) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 30th of June to ¥17.00. This takes the dividend yield to 3.5%, which shareholders will be pleased with.
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. However, prior to this announcement, Yamada Holdings was quite comfortably covering its dividend with earnings and it was paying more than 75% of its free cash flow to shareholders. The business is returning a large chunk of its cash to shareholders, which means it is not being used to grow the business.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 13.2%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 39% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
See our latest analysis for Yamada Holdings
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥6.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥17.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 11% over that duration. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Earnings has been rising at 2.5% per annum over the last five years, which admittedly is a bit slow. While growth may be thin on the ground, Yamada Holdings could always pay out a higher proportion of earnings to increase shareholder returns.
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Yamada Holdings will make a great income stock. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments Yamada Holdings has been making. We don't think Yamada Holdings is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Yamada Holdings (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.