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To own Holcim, you need to believe it can compound earnings and cash flows by shifting its portfolio toward higher value, lower carbon building solutions while managing cyclical demand and regulatory pressure. The latest ECOCycle recycling acquisitions modestly reinforce the near term catalyst around sustainable products and capital deployment, but do not materially change the central risk that expectations for long term volume and margin growth may prove too optimistic.
Among recent announcements, the planned North American spin off stands out in this context, because it could reshape how investors think about Holcim’s core European and global circular construction platforms. The new recycling capacity in the UK, Germany and France will likely sit inside the remaining group, which keeps execution risk on M&A integration and circular growth firmly in focus as a key part of the story.
Yet while ECOCycle capacity is growing, investors still need to consider how tightening decarbonization rules in Europe could...
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Holcim's narrative projects CHF17.9 billion revenue and CHF2.4 billion earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Holcim's forecasts yield a CHF74.92 fair value, in line with its current price.
Simply Wall St Community members see Holcim’s fair value anywhere between CHF38.97 and CHF77.72 across 11 separate views, underscoring how far opinions can diverge. Against that backdrop, the assumption that circular and low carbon products will support resilient margins and growth deserves closer scrutiny given Holcim’s expanding ECOCycle footprint in Europe.
Explore 11 other fair value estimates on Holcim - why the stock might be worth 49% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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